The critical question that call our attention Amid Deportation Plans and Collapsed Negotiations.

London, United Kingdom – September 16, 2025

Report by: Abeer Almadawy 

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The Palestinian cause remains at the heart of regional and international tensions, with rapidly escalating events and a shifting political map. Under these unprecedented circumstances, the question of the future of the Palestinian cause has become more pressing than ever.

The Palestinians face interwoven challenges:

   •   A suffocating humanitarian crisis in Gaza.

   •   Accelerating settlement expansion in the West Bank.

   •   Internal division weakening national unity.

While the steadfastness of the Palestinian people and their attachment to their land remains the most prominent constant, international and regional stances are key factors that may determine the coming direction.

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◼️ The Role of the United Nations: Efforts Colliding with the Veto

   •   The General Assembly adopted resolutions calling for a ceasefire.

   •   The Security Council failed due to repeated vetoes.

   •   The UN provided a diplomatic platform and humanitarian aid through UNRWA.

➡️ Yet it failed to enforce peace and security on the ground, remaining controversial between being merely a “platform of condemnation” or a true “instrument of justice.”

◼️ The U.S. Position: A Dual Policy

   •   Military and political support for Israel.

   •   Repeated calls to protect civilians and increase aid to Gaza.

   •   Intense diplomatic meetings to prevent regional escalation.

➡️ The contradiction between supporting Israel and speaking of peace raises doubts about the sincerity of U.S. intentions.

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◼️ The Israeli Position: Hardline and Security-Oriented

   •   Netanyahu’s rhetoric focuses on “security resolution.”

   •   Dismissal of any serious political negotiations.

   •   Ongoing settlement expansion and the imposition of new facts on the ground.

➡️ Political solutions are weakening at an alarming rate.

◼️ Egypt and the Deportation Plan: The Red Line

Egypt firmly declared its rejection of any plan to deport Palestinians to Sinai, stressing that such a move would:

   •   Cross a red line threatening its national security.

   •   Serve as an attempt to liquidate the Palestinian cause.

Egypt’s position is based on:

   •   A clear official rejection.

   •   Regional and international diplomatic coordination.

   •   A humanitarian role as the main channel for aid.

   •   Strict security monitoring of its borders.

➡️ Cairo remains the first line of defense against any deportation scheme.

◼️ The Arab and Regional Stance: Between Pressure and Diplomacy

   •   Jordan: Stressed that deportation equals liquidation of the cause.

   •   Saudi Arabia: Reaffirmed the centrality of the Palestinian cause and called for a two-state solution.

   •   Qatar: Continued direct mediation between the parties.

➡️ Despite the lack of a unified Arab stance, rejection of deportation remains the common denominator.

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◼️ Palestinian Division: The Internal Obstacle

   •   The Palestinian Authority struggles to assert control in Gaza.

   •   Hamas faces international isolation and military pressure.

➡️ The absence of national unity complicates both prospects of negotiation and resistance.

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◼️ The International Stance: Firm Rejection on Paper

   •   International law: Article 49 of the Fourth Geneva Convention prohibits forced transfer and classifies it as a war crime.

   •   The United Nations: Warned that any deportation would amount to a war crime.

   •   The United States and the European Union: Officially rejected the deportation scenario.

➡️ However, the lack of political will renders enforcement weak in the face of competing interests.

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◼️ Possible Future Scenarios

1. Partial Deportation: Evacuation of specific areas without full-scale displacement.

2. Temporary Settlement: A long-term ceasefire under international sponsorship while the blockade continues.

3. Regional Explosion: Arab or regional intervention altering the balance of power.

✦ Conclusion

The Palestinian cause today stands at a historic crossroads. Despite mounting risks, the following factors may prevent its final liquidation:

   •   The resilience of the Palestinian people.

   •   Egypt and the Arab states’ firm stance.

   •   Continued international pressure.

The greatest question remains unanswered:

Will the Palestinians and their allies succeed in protecting their cause from erasure, or will the coming days witness the gravest stage of this struggle?